| S2107WTIN20DEMS300650 | 2021-07-30 06:50:00 | 0 | T | IN | Индия | 20 | DEMS | TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN /THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARAB IAN SEA/ VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 30.07.2021 BASED ON 030 0 UTC OF 30.07.2021. BAY OF BENGAL: YESTERDAYS, WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER COASTAL BANGLADESH AND ADJOINING WEST BENGAL LAY OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL / ADJOINING JHARKHAND AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 30TH JULY 2021. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS ACROSS SOUTH BIHAR AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF UTTAR PRADESH DURING NEXT 2-3 DAYS. A FRESH LOW PRESSURE AREA FORMED OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF CENTRAL UTTAR PRADESH. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVE WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL / NEIGHBOURHOOD CENTERED WITHIN HALF A DEGREE OF 23.1N / 87.8E OVERLAND. ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL / NEIGHBOURHOOD. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE /CTT/ IS MINUS 82 0C. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL, WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU COAST. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF ARABIAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL REMARKS: NIL | Новый Дели, Индия | 28.81 | 77.03 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC042359 | 2021-07-04 23:59:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 800 PM EDT SUN JUL 04 2021 ...ELSA MOVING AWAY FROM SOUTHEASTERN CUBA AND JAMAICA... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 78.7W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM W OF CABO CRUZ CUBA ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF CAMAGUEY CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO, HOLGUIN, AND SANTIAGO DE CUBA. THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY, GRANMA, AND LAS TUNAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY, GRANMA, GUANTANAMO, HOLGUIN, LAS TUNAS, SANTIAGO DE CUBA, CIEGO DE AVILA, SANCTI SPIRITUS, VILLA CLARA, CIENFUEGOS, MATANZAS, MAYABEQUE, AND HAVANA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 PM EDT /0000 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND RADARS FROM PILAN AND CAMAGUEY, CUBA, NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH /24 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF ELSA WILL APPROACH SOUTH-CENTRAL CUBA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. ELSA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND HEAD TOWARD THE FLORIDA STRAITS ON MONDAY, AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH /95 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE ELSA MOVES OVER CUBA, FOLLOWED BY SOME WEAKENING WHILE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. SLIGHT RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER E | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ050000 | 2021-07-05 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 02 INITIAL TIME 050000 UTC 00HR 17.9N 125.5E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 35KM/H P+12HR 20.4N 122.1E 1002HPA 15M/S P+24HR 21.8N 119.0E 995HPA 20M/S P+36HR 23.7N 117.1E 998HPA 18M/S P+48HR 25.6N 115.5E 1006HPA 10M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTPQ20VHHH050445 | 2021-07-05 04:45:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO THE EAST OF LUZON HAS ENTERED THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY. AT 050300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO THE EAST OF THE LUZON WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /18.8 N/ ONE TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /124.4 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060300 UTC TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /22.1 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /117.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070300 UTC TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH /23.6 N/ ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /114.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTPN51PGTW050300 | 2021-07-05 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 51 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 210705014240 2021070500 07W SEVEN 002 01 305 22 SATL 060 T000 182N 1253E 030 T012 204N 1221E 035 R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 220N 1191E 040 R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 235N 1164E 035 R034 055 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD T048 259N 1143E 020 AMP 036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z --- NEAR 18.2N 125.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 125.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.4N 122.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 22.0N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 23.5N 116.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 25.9N 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 124.5E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 328 NM NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z. // 0721070306 111N1338E 20 0721070312 117N1333E 20 0721070318 127N1324E 20 0721070400 135N1313E 20 0721070406 144N1301E 20 0721070412 156N1286E 20 0721070418 169N1271E 25 0721070500 182N1253E 30 | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC050255 | 2021-07-05 02:55:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1100 PM EDT SUN JUL 04 2021 ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ELSA A LITTLE STRONGER... ...LANDFALL ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 79.2W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM ESE OF CAYO LARGO CUBA ABOUT 270 MI...440 KM SE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND LAS TUNAS, AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS, GRANMA, HOLQUIN, SANTIAGO DE CUBA, AND GUANTANAMO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY, CIEGO DE AVILA, SANCTI SPIRITUS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, AND HAVANA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER THE FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 1100 PM EDT /0300 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND RADARS FROM PILAN AND CAMAGUEY, CUBA, NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH /24 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF ELSA WILL APPROACH SOUTH-CENTRAL CUBA | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT25KNHC050255 | 2021-07-05 02:55:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 25 | KNHC | TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0300 UTC MON JUL 05 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA AND LAS TUNAS AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS, GRANMA, HOLGUIN, SANTIAGO DE CUBA, AND GUANTANAMO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS . A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...MAYABEQUE...AND HAVANA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR SHORTLY AFTER THE FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 79.2W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 20SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 79.2W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 78.7W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.9N 80.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 82.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.1N 82.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.1N 83.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.2N 82.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.5N 81.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC050533 | 2021-07-05 05:33:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 200 AM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA JUST SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA... ...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 79.6W ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM ESE OF CAYO LARGO CUBA ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY, CIEGO DE AVILA, SANCTI SPIRITUS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, AND HAVANA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER THE FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 200 AM EDT /0600 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH /24 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY AND HEAD TOWARD THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT, AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH /100 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ELSA MOVES OVER CUBA LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY SOME WEAKENING WHILE THE CENTER M | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT45KNHC050258 | 2021-07-05 02:58:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 45 | KNHC | TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1100 PM EDT SUN JUL 04 2021 SIMILAR TO THIS TIME LAST NIGHT, ELSA HAS UNDERGONE ANOTHER CONVECTIVE BURSTING PATTERN, EXCEPT THAT TONIGHT THIS HAS TRANSLATED INTO AT LEAST SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE CYCLONE THIS EVENING HAS FOUND MAXIMUM 850-MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 55 KT AND RELIABLE SFMR SURFACE WINDS OF ABOUT 55 KT. ALTHOUGH THERE HAVE BEEN SFMR WINDS OF 60 KT OR MORE REPORTED NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE CENTER, THOSE VALUES APPEAR TO BE CONTAMINATED BY SHOALING AND/OR BREAKING WAVES OWING TO THE SHALLOW WATER FLOWING IN AND AROUND THE OFFSHORE CAYO ANCLITAS AND CAYO PINGUES ARCHIPELAGOS. THE ESTIMATED CENTER PRESSURE OF 1004 MB BASED ON DROPSONDE DATA ALSO DOES A HIGHER INTENSITY OF 60 KT. THEREFORE, BASED ON THE MOST RELIABLE DATA, THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 55 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/13 KT. THERE REMAINS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FEW TRACK FORECASTS AND SYNOPTIC REASONINGS. ELSA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS, FOLLOWED BY ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON DAYS 4 AND 5 AS THE CYCLONE MOVES NEAR THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST AND THEN OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC. THE NEW NHC TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY JUST AN UPDATE AND EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK, AND LIES CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE TIGHTLY PACKED CORRECTED CONSENSUS MODEL HCCA AND THE SIMPLE CONSENSUS MODELS TVCA AND GFEX. CUBAN RADAR DATA FROM PILAN AND CAMAGUEY HAVE OCCASIONALLY REVEALED AN EYE-LIKE FEATURE IN THE LOW -AND MID-LEVELS OF THE CYCLONE WHERE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN COLDER THAN -80C AND ALSO WHERE SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY HAS BEEN OCCURRING. GIVEN THAT THE CIRCULATION CENTERS HAVE BECOME BETTER ALIGNED AND THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN IS WELL-ESTABLISHED AND STEADILY IMPROVING, SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 12 H IS FORECAST, WHICH CALLS FOR ELSA TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA TOMORROW. OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY, SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER ELSA CLEARS CUBA, BUT SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO HINDER THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS ON THE HIGH SIDE OF THE NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE, AND FOLLOWS A BLEND OF THE HCCA INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODEL, AND THE LGEM AND AND DECAY-SHIPS STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL MODELS. KEY MESSAGES: 1. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF JAMAICA TONIGHT WHERE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN IMPACT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CUBA TONIGHT INTO MONDAY RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER CUBA. AS ELSA APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS, FLORIDA PENINSULA, AND COASTAL GEORGIA MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH, URBAN, AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING. MID TO LATE WEEK, HEAVY RAINS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING. 2. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ARE EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND MONDAY, AND WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS BY LATE MONDAY. 3. TROPICAL STORM AND SURGE SURGE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WHERE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING AS EARLY AS MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY. 4. THERE IS A RISK OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, STORM SURGE, AND RAINFALL IMPACTS ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WIN | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTUS82KMFL050303 | 2021-07-05 03:03:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMFL | TCVMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL052021 1103 PM EDT SUN JUL 4 2021 FLZ069-051115- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER- 1103 PM EDT SUN JUL 4 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - NAPLES - MARCO ISLAND - EVERGLADES CITY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: ACT NOW TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: EARLY TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING VULNERABLE AREAS, BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE. - ACT: LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - DITCHES AND CANALS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ050300 | 2021-07-05 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 02 INITIAL TIME 050300 UTC 00HR 18.7N 124.6E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 35KM/H P+12HR 20.8N 121.1E 998HPA 18M/S P+24HR 22.5N 118.2E 995HPA 20M/S P+36HR 24.6N 116.5E 1004HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTPH20RPMM050000 | 2021-07-05 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PH | Филиппины | 20 | RPMM | DOST-PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NO. 5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANALYSIS AT 0000UTC 05 JULY 2021 PSTN 18.4N 124.9E MOVE WNW 25KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST POSITIONS AND INTENSITIES T+012H VALID AT 1200UTC 05 JULY 2021 20.8N 121.6E TROPICAL STORM 998HPA 035KT T+024H VALID AT 0000UTC 06 JULY 20 21 22.8N 119.2E TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000HPA 030KT T+036H VALID AT 1200UTC 06 J ULY 2021 24.7N 117.4E LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002HPA REQUESTING THREE-HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300NM OF 18.4N 124.9E NEXT WARNING AT 0600UTC 05 JULY 2021 PHILIPPINE ATMOSPHERIC GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTRONOMICAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION = | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ050600 | 2021-07-05 06:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 02 INITIAL TIME 050600 UTC 00HR 19.4N 123.9E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE WNW 35KM/H P+12HR 21.1N 120.5E 998HPA 18M/S P+24HR 22.8N 117.5E 995HPA 20M/S P+36HR 24.9N 115.9E 1004HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC051147 | 2021-07-05 11:47:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 800 AM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA NEARING LANDFALL IN WEST-CENTRAL CUBA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.4N 80.7W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ESE OF CAYO LARGO CUBA ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY, CIEGO DE AVILA, SANCTI SPIRITUS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, AND HAVANA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ENGLEWOOD A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER THE FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 AM EDT /1200 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH /22 KM/H/ AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH /100 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ELSA MOVES OVER | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTSR20WSSS050600 | 2021-07-05 06:00:00 | 0 | T | SR | Сингапур | 20 | WSSS | NO STORM WARNING= | Сингапур | 1.34 | 104.0 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC051455 | 2021-07-05 14:55:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1100 AM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.5N 81.2W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ESE OF CAYO LARGO CUBA ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER, INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. THE STORM SURGE WATCH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING, AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA, SANCTI SPIRITUS, CIENFUEGOS, MATANZAS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO SUWANNEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 1100 AM EDT /1500 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH /22 KM/H/ , AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH /100 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. SLIGHT RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER ELSA MOVES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES /110 KM/ FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER OBSERVATIONS IS 1006 MB /29.71 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFEC | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPN31PGTW050300 | 2021-07-05 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 31 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 002// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z --- NEAR 18.2N 125.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 125.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.4N 122.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 22.0N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 23.5N 116.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 25.9N 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 124.5E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 328 NM NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z, 051500Z, 052100Z AND 060300Z. // NNNN | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTUS82KMLB050850 | 2021-07-05 08:50:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMLB | TCVMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL052021 450 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ044-051600- /O.NEW.KMLB.TR.A.1005.210705T0850Z-000000T0000Z/ NORTHERN LAKE- 450 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - LEESBURG - THE VILLAGES - MOUNT DORA / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: ACT NOW TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-3 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES. - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES. - PREPARE: IF YOUR SHELTER IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO TORNADOES, PREPARE TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES. - ACT: IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS PULLED FROM MOORINGS. / FOR MORE INFORMATION: - FAMILY EMERGENCY PLANS: FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY - HTTPS://WWW.READY.GOV - LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS - HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MLB // FLZ144-051600- /O.NEW.KMLB.TR.A. | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20VHHH050745 | 2021-07-05 07:45:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 050600 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO THE EAST OF THE LUZON WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /19.4 N/ ONE TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /123.5 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /22.4 N/ ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /118.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTUS82KMFL050908 | 2021-07-05 09:08:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMFL | TCVMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL052021 508 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ069-051715- /O.NEW.KMFL.TR.W.1005.210705T0908Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMFL.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER- 508 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - NAPLES - MARCO ISLAND - EVERGLADES CITY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: EARLY TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING VULNERABLE AREAS, BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE. - ACT: LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - DITCHES AND CANALS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. - FLOOD WATERS CAN EN | | None | None |
| S2107WTPN31PGTW050900 | 2021-07-05 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 31 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 003// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z --- NEAR 19.5N 123.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 123.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 21.3N 120.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 22.9N 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 24.9N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050900Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 122.7E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 548 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.// NNNN | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTPN51PGTW050900 | 2021-07-05 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 51 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 210705070916 2021070506 07W SEVEN 003 01 310 21 SATL 030 T000 195N 1235E 030 T012 213N 1203E 035 R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 070 NW QD T024 229N 1175E 030 T036 249N 1152E 020 AMP 024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z --- NEAR 19.5N 123.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 123.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 21.3N 120.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 22.9N 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 24.9N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050900Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 122.7E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 548 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z, 052100Z, 060300Z AND 060900Z.// 0721070306 111N1338E 20 0721070312 117N1333E 20 0721070318 127N1324E 20 0721070400 135N1313E 20 0721070406 144N1301E 20 0721070412 156N1286E 20 0721070418 169N1271E 25 0721070500 182N1253E 30 0721070506 195N1235E 30 | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ050900 | 2021-07-05 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 050900 UTC 00HR 15.5N 115.1E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE WNW 15KM/H P+12HR 16.1N 113.6E 1002HPA 15M/S P+24HR 17.0N 112.5E 998HPA 18M/S P+36HR 18.0N 111.7E 995HPA 20M/S P+48HR 18.9N 110.7E 990HPA 23M/S P+60HR 19.6N 109.5E 1002HPA 15M/S P+72HR 20.2N 107.7E 998HPA 18M/S P+96HR 20.7N 105.9E 1004HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC050831 | 2021-07-05 08:31:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 500 AM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA JUST SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.0N 79.9W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM ESE OF CAYO LARGO CUBA ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM FLAMINGO TO ENGLEWOOD, FLORIDA HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM ANCLOTE RIVER TO AUCILLA RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY, CIEGO DE AVILA, SANCTI SPIRITUS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, AND HAVANA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ENGLEWOOD A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER THE FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 500 AM EDT /0900 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH /22 KM/H/ AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT25KNHC050831 | 2021-07-05 08:31:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 25 | KNHC | TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0900 UTC MON JUL 05 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM FLAMINGO TO ENGLEWOOD...FLORIDA HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM ANCLOTE RIVER TO AUCILLA RIVER...FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...MAYABEQUE...AND HAVANA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ENGLEWOOD A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN / THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AFTER THE FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 79.9W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 79.9W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 79.6W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.2N 81.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.9N 82.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.9N 83.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.0N 83.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.1N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.5N 80.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT45KNHC050832 | 2021-07-05 08:32:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 45 | KNHC | TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 500 AM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ELSA APPEARS TO BE HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH WHILE MOVING JUST SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA. RADAR DATA FROM CUBA AND SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A PERSISTENT AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER AND SOME BANDING FEATURES, ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. AN ASCAT PASS FROM AROUND 0130Z INDICATED THAT ELSA WAS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS MOSTLY CONFINED TO A REGION WITHIN ABOUT 60 N MI EAST OF THE CENTER. PEAK WINDS IN THE PASS WERE AROUND 50 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT, AND GIVEN THE SMALL SIZE OF THE CYCLONE AND SOMEWHAT COURSE RESOLUTION OF THE ASCAT DATA, IT SEEMS VERY REASONABLE THAT ELSA HAS AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF AROUND 55 KT. THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS ALSO IN LINE WITH THE LATEST DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS. THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS WILL BE INVESTIGATING ELSA AGAIN SHORTLY, AND THE DATA THE PLANE COLLECTS WILL BE VALUABLE IN ASSESSING THE STORM/S INTENSITY AND WIND FIELD. THE TROPICAL STORM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 12 KT ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS ELSA MOVES IN THE FLOW BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD TAKE THE CORE OF ELSA ACROSS CENTRAL OR WESTERN CUBA LATER THIS MORNING, NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY, AND THEN ALONG OR VERY NEAR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA LATER ON TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW ELSA MOVING INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL OR NORTHERN FLORIDA, BUT GIVEN THE EXPECTED PARALLEL MOTION TO THE COAST, MUCH OF THE WEST COAST OF THE STATE WILL LIKELY SEE IMPACTS FROM ELSA ON TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY. AFTER ELSA CLEARS FLORIDA, IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FASTER NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BEFORE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE NEW TRACK FORECAST IS JUST A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST CONSENSUS MODELS. GIVEN THE OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, ELSA COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST OF CUBA LATER THIS MORNING. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE LAND INTERACTION WITH CUBA, BUT MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT ELSA COULD RESTRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER FLORIDA. SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH DUE TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK, MUCH OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF ELSA, WHICH IS WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS, HIGHEST SURGE, AND HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE ELSA MOVES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S., BUT SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AGAIN WHEN THE STORM MOVES OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE WHILE ELSA IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO, AND IT LIES NEAR THE HIGH END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. KEY MESSAGES: 1. HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CUBA TODAY RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER CUBA. AS ELSA APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS, FLORIDA PENINSULA, AND COASTAL GEORGIA MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH, URBAN, AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING. MID TO LATE WEEK, HEAVY RAINS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING. 2. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST THIS MORNING. 3. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY, WHERE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A STORM SURGE WATCH | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTIN20DEMS050616 | 2021-07-05 06:16:00 | 0 | T | IN | Индия | 20 | DEMS | TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 05.07.2021 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN /THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA/ VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 05.07.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 05.07.2021. BAY OF BENGAL: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH / SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL REMARKS: NIL= | Новый Дели, Индия | 28.81 | 77.03 |
| S2107WTNT25KNHC051455 | 2021-07-05 14:55:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 25 | KNHC | TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1500 UTC MON JUL 05 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. THE STORM SURGE WATCH ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...FLORIDA. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF ARTEMISA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...MAYABEQUE...HAVANA...AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO SUWANNEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS...FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 81.2W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 81.2W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 80.8W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.2N 82.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N 83.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 83.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.3N 83.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.5N 82.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.7N 79.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 38.5N 72.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 44.5N 61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 81.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 05/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z // FORECASTER PASCH | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPH20RPMM050600 | 2021-07-05 06:00:00 | 0 | T | PH | Филиппины | 20 | RPMM | DOST-PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NO. 6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANALYSIS AT 0600UTC 05 JULY 2021 PSTN 19.5N 123.6E MOVE NW 25KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST POSITIONS AND INTENSITIES T+012H VALID AT 1800UTC 05 JULY 2021 21.5N 120.4E TROPICAL STORM 998HPA 035KT T+024H VALID AT 0600UTC 06 JULY 20 21 23.3N 118.2E TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000HPA 030KT T+036H VALID AT 1800UTC 06 J ULY 2021 25.5N 116.0E LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002HPA REQUESTING THREE-HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300NM OF 19.5N 123.6E NEXT WARNING AT 1200UTC 05 JULY 2021 PHILIPPINE ATMOSPHERIC GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTRONOMICAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION = | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ051200 | 2021-07-05 12:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 051200 UTC 00HR 15.6N 114.7E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE WNW 15KM/H P+12HR 16.1N 113.0E 1002HPA 15M/S P+24HR 17.2N 112.0E 998HPA 18M/S P+36HR 18.4N 111.1E 995HPA 20M/S P+48HR 19.3N 109.9E 1002HPA 15M/S P+60HR 20.0N 108.3E 998HPA 18M/S P+72HR 20.6N 106.4E 1002HPA 15M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTPQ20VHHH051045 | 2021-07-05 10:45:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 050900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO THE NORTHEAST OF LUZON WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH /20.0 N/ ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST /122.7 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060900 UTC TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /22.8 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /117.5 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTPQ20VHHH051345 | 2021-07-05 13:45:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 051200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO THE NORTHEAST OF LUZON WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /20.8 N/ ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /122.0 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH /23.0 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /117.1 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH051346 | 2021-07-05 13:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS. AT 051200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /15.4 N/ ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /113.1 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /17.1 N/ ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /111.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH /19.7 N/ ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /108.8 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH /19.9 N/ ONE ZERO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /104.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTPN31PGTW051500 | 2021-07-05 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 31 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 004// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z --- NEAR 20.2N 121.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 121.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 21.6N 119.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 23.8N 117.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 25.9N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051500Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 121.2E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.// NNNN | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTPN51PGTW051500 | 2021-07-05 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 51 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 210705131231 2021070512 07W SEVEN 004 01 295 17 SATL SYNP 045 T000 202N 1218E 030 T012 216N 1193E 030 T024 238N 1173E 025 T036 259N 1157E 020 AMP 024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z --- NEAR 20.2N 121.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 121.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 21.6N 119.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 23.8N 117.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 25.9N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051500Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 121.2E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.// 0721070306 111N1338E 20 0721070312 117N1333E 20 0721070318 127N1324E 20 0721070400 135N1313E 20 0721070406 144N1301E 20 0721070412 156N1286E 20 0721070418 169N1271E 25 0721070500 182N1253E 30 0721070506 195N1235E 30 0721070512 202N1218E 30 | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC051743 | 2021-07-05 17:43:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 200 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA MAKING LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA WHILE BRINGING FLOODING RAINS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.2N 81.6W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA, SANCTI SPIRITUS, CIENFUEGOS, MATANZAS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO SUWANNEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF / FLORIDA BAY / NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 200 PM EDT /1800 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH /22 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER WEST-CENTRAL CUBA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING, AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH /95 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER ELSA MOVES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES /110 KM/ FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB /29.74 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- KEY MESSAGES FOR ELSA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT5, WMO HEADER WTNT45 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS/AT5.SHTML?KEY/MESSAGES. WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST BEGINNING TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT. STORM SURGE: A STORM | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC062341 | 2021-07-06 23:41:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN HURRICANE ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 800 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2021 ...ELSA REGAINS HURRICANE STATUS SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA BAY... ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 83.1W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM KEY WEST TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER, INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / EGMONT KEY TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER, FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO SOUTH OF EGMONT KEY / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF STEINHATCHEE RIVER TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER / COAST OF GEORGIA FROM THE MOUTH OF THE ST. MARYS RIVER TO ALTAMAHA SOUND A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER, FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND, GEORGIA, TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER, SOUTH CAROLINA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CAROLINAS AND THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 PM EDT /0000 UTC/, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ELSA WAS LOCATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH /22 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A FASTER NORTHEASTWARD MOTION BY LATE THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ELSA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTH FLORIDA GULF COAST BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH THURSDAY. DATA FROM THE NOA | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPH20RPMM051200 | 2021-07-05 12:00:00 | 0 | T | PH | Филиппины | 20 | RPMM | DOST-PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NO. 7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANALYSIS AT 1200UTC 05 JULY 2021 PSTN 20.7N 121.6E MOVE WNW 20KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST POSITIONS AND INTENSITIES T+012H VALID AT 0000UTC 06 JULY 2021 22.5N 118.8E TROPICAL STORM 1000HPA 035KT T+024H VALID AT 1200UTC 06 JULY 2 021 24.6N 116.7E LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006HPA REQUESTING THREE-HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300NM OF 20.7N 121.6E NEXT WARNING AT 1800UTC 05 JULY 2021 PHILIPPINE ATMOSPHERIC GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTRONOMICAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION = | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ051500 | 2021-07-05 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 051500 UTC 00HR 15.7N 114.0E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE WNW 15KM/H P+12HR 16.2N 112.6E 1002HPA 15M/S P+24HR 17.5N 111.7E 998HPA 18M/S P+36HR 18.6N 110.8E 995HPA 20M/S P+48HR 19.5N 109.3E 1002HPA 15M/S P+60HR 20.2N 107.6E 998HPA 18M/S P+72HR 20.8N 105.8E 1002HPA 15M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH051946 | 2021-07-05 19:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 051800 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /15.4 N/ ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /112.6 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /17.4 N/ ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /111.1 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071800 UTC ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /19.4 N/ ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /106.8 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTUS82KMFL051458 | 2021-07-05 14:58:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMFL | TCVMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL052021 1058 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ069-052300- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER- 1058 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - NAPLES - MARCO ISLAND - EVERGLADES CITY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING VULNERABLE AREAS, BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE. - ACT: LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - DITCHES AND CANALS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRA | | None | None |
| S2107WTNT45KNHC051459 | 2021-07-05 14:59:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 45 | KNHC | TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1100 AM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING ELSA WHILE IT APPROACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA THIS MORNING. BASED ON SFMR-OBSERVED SURFACE WINDS FROM THE AIRCRAFT, THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 55 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. A CENTER DROPSONDE FROM THE PLANE MEASURED 1009 MB WITH 26 KT AT THE SURFACE, SO THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATE IS 1006 MB, INDICATING NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE SINCE YESTERDAY. TAIL DOPPLER WIND DATA FROM THE NOAA PLANE SHOWED THAT THERE IS AN EASTWARD TILT OF THE CENTER WITH HEIGHT, SO THE STORM CONTINUES TO HAVE SOME VERTICAL ALIGNMENT ISSUES. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO DEPICT CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION, WITH THE CENTER LOCATED NEAR THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE MAIN CLOUD MASS. ELSA CONTINUES ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 310/12 KT. OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS, THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE BETWEEN A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLANTIC AND A MID-LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, ELSA IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WESTERLIES OFF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES COAST AND INTO THE ATLANTIC, WHERE IT SHOULD LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN THE VICINITY OF NOVA SCOTIA. OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO, THE OFFICIAL TRACK TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE MODEL CONSENSUS AIDS, HCCA AND TVCA, BUT NOT AS FAR WEST AS THAT GUIDANCE. THE GFS MODEL TRACK LIES A LITTLE EAST OF THE LATEST NHC TRACK. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE ELSA CROSSES WEST-CENTRAL CUBA TODAY. RESTRENGTHENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IS LIKELY TO BE LIMITED BY MODERATE WESTERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS MOSTLY HIGHER THAN THE NUMERICAL MODEL CONSENSUS. KEY MESSAGES: 1. HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CUBA TODAY RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER CUBA. AS ELSA APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS, THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, AND COASTAL GEORGIA THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH, URBAN, AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING. MID TO LATE WEEK, HEAVY RAINS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING. 2. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TODAY. 3. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, WHERE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A STORM SURGE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. 4. THERE IS A RISK OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS ALONG THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/1500Z 21.5N 81.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 06/0000Z 23.2N 82.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 06/1200Z 25.0N 83.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 07/0000Z 27.0N 83.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 07/1200Z 29.3N 83.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 60H 08/0000Z 31.5N 82.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 72H 08/1200Z 33.7N 79.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 09/1200Z 38.5N 72.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER 120H 10/1200Z 44.5N 61.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP // FORECASTER PASCH | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20VHHH051645 | 2021-07-05 16:45:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 051500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE LUZON STRAIT WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /21.2 N/ ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /121.5 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /24.2 N/ ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST /116.3 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH051646 | 2021-07-05 16:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 051500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /15.4 N/ ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /112.9 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH /17.5 N/ ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST /111.7 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071500 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /19.8 N/ ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /108.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH /19.9 N/ ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /103.8 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTUS82KJAX051507 | 2021-07-05 15:07:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KJAX | TCVJAX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL AL052021 1107 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ140-052315- /O.NEW.KJAX.TR.A.1005.210705T1507Z-000000T0000Z/ EASTERN MARION- 1107 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - LYNNE - MOSS BLUFF / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: ACT NOW TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW POSSIBLY INTENSE HAVING LARGER DAMAGE PATHS. - PREPARE: THOSE LIVING IN MANUFACTURED HOMES OR ON BOATS SHOULD PREPARE TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES. - ACT: LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT. DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL. / FOR MORE INFORMATION: - HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAX/ // FLZ240-052315- /O.NEW.KJAX.TR.A.1005.210705T1507Z-000000T0000Z/ CENTRAL MARION- 1107 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 | | None | None |
| S2107WTUS82KMFL051510 | 2021-07-05 15:10:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMFL | AAA TCVMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 21...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL052021 1110 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ069-052315- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER- 1110 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - NAPLES - MARCO ISLAND - EVERGLADES CITY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING VULNERABLE AREAS, BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE. - ACT: LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - DITCHES AND CANALS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ051800 | 2021-07-05 18:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 02 INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 21.6N 120.8E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE WNW 25KM/H P+12HR 23.0N 118.5E 995HPA 20M/S P+24HR 24.7N 116.2E 1004HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTUS82KMLB051512 | 2021-07-05 15:12:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMLB | TCVMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL052021 1112 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ044-052315- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ NORTHERN LAKE- 1112 AM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - LEESBURG - THE VILLAGES - MOUNT DORA / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: ACT NOW TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-3 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES. - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW POSSIBLY INTENSE HAVING LARGER DAMAGE PATHS. - PREPARE: THOSE LIVING IN MANUFACTURED HOMES OR ON BOATS SHOULD PREPARE TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES. - ACT: LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT. DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL. / F | | None | None |
| S2107WTNT45KNHC052047 | 2021-07-05 20:47:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 45 | KNHC | TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 500 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY ALONG WITH SURFACE SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVED INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL CUBA AROUND 1800 UTC, ACCOMPANIED BY VERY HEAVY RAINS. ASSUMING THAT SOME WEAKENING HAS OCCURRED DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND, THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET TO 45 KT. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE ELSA THIS EVENING AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND WILL PROVIDE A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF THE SYSTEM/S INTENSITY. THE STORM APPEARS TO BE CONTINUING ON ITS NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/12 KT. THERE ARE NO CHANGES TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ELSA SHOULD MOVE BETWEEN THE WESTERN PORTION OF A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING WESTWARD FROM THE ATLANTIC AND A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AND MOVE FROM THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO NEAR ATLANTIC CANADA. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRACTICALLY IDENTICAL TO THE ONE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, AND A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE ATLANTIC. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE NOW TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING OF THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY AFTER IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO, BUT VERTICAL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GULF IS LIKELY TO LIMIT INTENSIFICATION. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS, IVCN. AROUND 96 HOURS, THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE WILL MERGE WITH A FRONTAL ZONE, SO THE FORECAST SHOWS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AT THAT TIME. KEY MESSAGES: 1. HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CUBA THROUGH TONIGHT RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER CUBA. AS ELSA APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS, FLORIDA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH, URBAN, AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING, WITH CONSIDERABLE FLOODING POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. MID- TO LATE-WEEK, HEAVY RAINS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA, NORTH CAROLINA, AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING. 2. THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, AND A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THAT AREA. 3. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT, AND SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA WEST COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WHERE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. 4. THERE IS A RISK OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/2100Z 22.7N 81.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 06/0600Z 24.1N 82.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 06/1800Z 26.1N 83.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 07/0600Z 28.2N 83.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 07/1800Z 30.6N 83.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 60H 08/0600Z 32.8N 81.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 72H 08/1800Z 35.5N 78.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 09/1800Z 41.5N 69.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 10/1800Z 49.0N 56.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP // FORECASTER PASCH | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPN31PGTW052100 | 2021-07-05 21:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 31 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 005// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 120.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 120.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 23.5N 118.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 26.1N 116.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 28.6N 115.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 119.7E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.// NNNN | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC052046 | 2021-07-05 20:46:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 500 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA MOVING OVER WESTERN CUBA WITH HEAVY RAINS... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.7N 81.9W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SE OF HAVANA CUBA ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF CRAIG KEY AND FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA AND SANCTI SPIRITUS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS, MATANZAS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 500 PM EDT /2100 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH /22 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS, MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING, AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FOR | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ221700 | 2021-07-22 17:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY IN-FA 2106 /2106/ INITIAL TIME 221700 UTC 00HR 23.5N 125.6E 955HPA 42M/S 30KTS WINDS 300KM NORTHEAST 220KM SOUTHEAST 220KM SOUTHWEST 260KM NORTHWEST 50KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST 100KM SOUTHEAST 100KM SOUTHWEST 100KM NORTHWEST 64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST 40KM SOUTHEAST 40KM SOUTHWEST 40KM NORTHWEST MOVE NW 9KM/H= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTPN51PGTW052100 | 2021-07-05 21:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 51 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 210705201206 2021070518 07W SEVEN 005 01 300 17 SATL RADR SYNP 045 T000 216N 1203E 030 T012 235N 1181E 030 T024 261N 1163E 025 T036 286N 1151E 020 AMP 024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 120.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 120.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 23.5N 118.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 26.1N 116.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 28.6N 115.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 119.7E. 05JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUT H-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 1 2 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.// 0721070306 111N1338E 20 0721070312 117N1333E 20 0721070318 127N1324E 20 0721070400 135N1313E 20 0721070406 144N1301E 20 0721070412 156N1286E 20 0721070418 171N1270E 25 0721070500 182N1253E 30 0721070506 195N1235E 30 0721070512 207N1219E 30 0721070518 216N1203E 30 | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTUS82KMLB052105 | 2021-07-05 21:05:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMLB | TCVMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL052021 505 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ044-060515- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ NORTHERN LAKE- 505 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - LEESBURG - THE VILLAGES - MOUNT DORA / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE UNDERWAY. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: ACT NOW TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-3 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES. - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW POSSIBLY INTENSE HAVING LARGER DAMAGE PATHS. - PREPARE: THOSE LIVING IN MANUFACTURED HOMES OR ON BOATS SHOULD PREPARE TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES. - ACT: LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT. DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL. / FOR | | None | None |
| S2107WTUS82KMFL052113 | 2021-07-05 21:13:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMFL | TCVMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL052021 513 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ069-060515- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER- 513 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - NAPLES - MARCO ISLAND - EVERGLADES CITY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING VULNERABLE AREAS, BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE. - ACT: LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - DITCHES AND CANALS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFT CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DR | | None | None |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC052351 | 2021-07-05 23:51:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 800 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA PASSING JUST EAST OF HAVANA CUBA WITH HEAVY RAINS... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 81.9W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM E OF HAVANA CUBA ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM S OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS, MATANZAS, VILLA CLARA, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 PM EDT /0000 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED BY RADARS FROM KEY WEST, FLORIDA, AND HAVANA, CUBA, NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH /20 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY, AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE COAST WESTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS EVENING, AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA BY LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. DATA FROM THE NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR IN KEY WEST INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH /85 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER WATER. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER ELSA MOVES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCR | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ052100 | 2021-07-05 21:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 02 INITIAL TIME 052100 UTC 00HR 21.7N 120.6E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 27KM/H P+12HR 23.3N 118.1E 995HPA 20M/S P+24HR 25.3N 115.6E 1004HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTPH20RPMM051800 | 2021-07-05 18:00:00 | 0 | T | PH | Филиппины | 20 | RPMM | DOST-PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NO. 8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANALYSIS AT 1800UTC 05 JULY 2021 PSTN 21.7N 120.9E MOVE NW 15KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST POSITIONS AND INTENSITIES T+012H VALID AT 0600UTC 06 JULY 2021 23.8N 118.0E TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002HPA 030KT T+024H VALID AT 1800UTC 06 J ULY 2021 26.2N 116.5E LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006HPA REQUESTING THREE-HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300NM OF 21.7N 120.9E NEXT WARNING AT 0000UTC 06 JULY 2021 PHILIPPINE ATMOSPHERIC GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTRONOMICAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION = | | None | None |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH051945 | 2021-07-05 19:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 051800 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE LUZON STRAIT WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /21.4 N/ ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /120.8 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061800 UTC TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH /25.5 N/ ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST /118.3 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH052245 | 2021-07-05 22:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 052100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE SOUTHERN PART OF TAIWAN WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /21.8 N/ ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /120.4 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC TWO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH /26.0 N/ ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /118.6 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH052246 | 2021-07-05 22:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 052100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH /15.5 N/ ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /112.5 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH /17.7 N/ ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /110.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /19.4 N/ ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /106.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTNT25KNHC052046 | 2021-07-05 20:46:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 25 | KNHC | TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 2100 UTC MON JUL 05 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF CRAIG KEY AND FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA AND SANCTI SPIRITUS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA... MAYABEQUE...HAVANA...AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS...FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 81.9W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 81.9W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 81.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.1N 82.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 26.1N 83.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.2N 83.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.6N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.8N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.5N 78.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 41.5N 69.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 49.0N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP R | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPN51PGTW060300 | 2021-07-06 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 51 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 07W NWP 210706025117 2021070600 07W SEVEN 006 01 305 12 SATL SYNP 060 T000 223N 1193E 020 T012 247N 1180E 020 T024 268N 1170E 015 AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 006 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 22.3N 119.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 119.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 24.7N 118.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 26.8N 117.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 119.0E. 06JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 207 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 9 FEET. // 0721070306 111N1338E 20 0721070312 117N1333E 20 0721070318 127N1324E 20 0721070400 135N1313E 20 0721070406 144N1301E 20 0721070412 156N1286E 20 0721070418 171N1270E 25 0721070500 182N1253E 30 0721070506 195N1235E 30 0721070512 207N1219E 30 0721070518 216N1203E 30 0721070600 223N1193E 20 | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTUS82KMLB060319 | 2021-07-06 03:19:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMLB | TCVMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL052021 1119 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ044-060930- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ NORTHERN LAKE- 1119 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - LEESBURG - THE VILLAGES - MOUNT DORA / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN SQUALLS. - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-3 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO AROUND 5 INCHES. - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW POSSIBLY INTENSE HAVING LARGER DAMAGE PATHS. - PREPARE: THOSE LIVING IN MANUFACTURED HOMES OR ON BOATS ARE URGED TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES. - ACT: LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT. DANGER | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ060300 | 2021-07-06 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 02 INITIAL TIME 060300 UTC 00HR 22.6N 118.6E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 25KM/H P+12HR 25.1N 117.2E 1005HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH060145 | 2021-07-06 01:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 060000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE TAIWAN STRAIT WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /22.2 N/ ONE TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST /120.2 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTPN31PGTW060300 | 2021-07-06 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 31 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 006// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W /SEVEN/ WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 22.3N 119.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 119.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 24.7N 118.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 26.8N 117.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 119.0E. 06JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION /TD/ 07W /SEVEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 207 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY /MSI/ SHOWS THAT THE PREVIOUS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 07W HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY SHEARED, REVEALING A WEAK, EXPANSIVE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION /LLC/. A 060003Z ASCAT-A IMAGE DEPICTING A BROAD, WEAK WIND FIELD CONFIRMS THAT THE LLC RAPIDLY DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. FURTHERMORE, THE ASCAT SHOWS MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 KTS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM, LENDING MEDIUM CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL INTENSITY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY PGTW AND KNES DVORAK INTENSITY FIXES WITH DATA T-NUMBERS OF T1.0-1.5 /25 KTS/ AND A 062100Z SURFACE OBSERVATION OF 19 KTS AT HENGHUN /87 NM EAST OF THE INITIAL POSITION/. THE REMNANTS OF THIS SYSTEM ARE FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST CHINA. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 9 FEET.// NNNN | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH060146 | 2021-07-06 01:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 060000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /15.8 N/ ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /112.1 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH /18.3 N/ ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /110.6 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /19.8 N/ ONE ZERO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /105.6 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTPH20RPMM060000 | 2021-07-06 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PH | Филиппины | 20 | RPMM | DOST-PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NO. 9F TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANALYSIS AT 0000UTC 06 JULY 2021 PSTN 22.3N 120.0E MOVE NW 10KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 025KT FORECAST POSITIONS AND INTENSITIES T+012H VALID AT 1200UTC 06 JULY 2021 24.5N 117.5E LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006HPA FINAL WARNING PHILIPPINE ATMOSPHERIC GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTRONOMICAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION = | | None | None |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH060445 | 2021-07-06 04:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 060300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE TAIWAN STRAIT WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /23.1 N/ ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /120.0 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSR20WSSS051800 | 2021-07-05 18:00:00 | 0 | T | SR | Сингапур | 20 | WSSS | NO STORM WARNING= | Сингапур | 1.34 | 104.0 |
| S2107WTNT25KNHC060250 | 2021-07-06 02:50:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 25 | KNHC | TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0300 UTC TUE JUL 06 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND VILLA CLARA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...HAVANA...AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS...FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 82.3W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 82.3W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 82.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.9N 82.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.9N 83.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.2N 83.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.6N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 34.0N 79.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 36.9N 76.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 43.3N 66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 50.5N 52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 82.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 06/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z // FORECASTER STEWART | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPN21PGTW060030 | 2021-07-06 00:30:00 | 0 | T | PN | Северная часть Тихого океана | 21 | PGTW | RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 095 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.6N 112.6E TO 17.9N 110.5E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 051800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 112.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 070030Z . // 9721070312 129N1230E 15 9721070318 131N1214E 15 9721070400 134N1200E 20 9721070406 140N1186E 15 9721070412 145N1175E 20 9721070418 150N1164E 20 9721070500 152N1153E 20 9721070506 153N1141E 20 9721070512 154N1130E 20 9721070518 156N1125E 20 NNNN | Гуам (Совместный центр предупреждения тайфунов) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC060250 | 2021-07-06 02:50:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1100 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 ...ELSA BACK OVER WATER BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER CUBA... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 82.3W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NNE OF HAVANA CUBA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS AND VILLA CLARA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 1100 PM EDT /0300 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED BY RADARS FROM KEY WEST, FLORIDA, AND HAVANA, CUBA, NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH /19 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT AND PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS EARLY TUESDAY. ELSA IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA BY LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. DATA FROM THE NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR IN KEY WEST AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH /95 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWA | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT45KNHC060250 | 2021-07-06 02:50:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 45 | KNHC | TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1100 PM EDT MON JUL 05 2021 RADAR DATA FROM CUBA AND KEY WEST, FLORIDA, ALONG WITH SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF ELSA IS BACK OVER WATER, HAVING EMERGED OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF OF CUBA AROUND 0200 UTC. DOPPLER VELOCITY DATA FROM THE NOAA WSR-88D AT KEY WEST INDICATE VALUES OF AROUND 55 T AT 10,000 FT, WHICH SUPPORTS EQUIVALENT SURFACE WINDS OF 49 KT. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FLYING JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA OVER DEEP WATER MEASURED RELIABLE SFMR SURFACE WINDS OF AT LEAST 50 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA, THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 50 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 330/10 KT. JUST LIKE OVER THE PAST THREE DAYS, NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST OR SYNOPTIC REASONING. ELSA IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE WHOSE AXIS EXTENDS WESTWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE CYCLONE SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE AROUND THE RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, TURNING NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY LATE WEDNESDAY, ELSA SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND FRONTAL SYSTEM, MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO NEAR ATLANTIC CANADA. THE NEW NHC TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK, BUT WAS NUDGED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD DUE TO THE MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION, AND LIES A TAD EAST OF OF THE VARIOUS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED TRACK CONSENSUS MODELS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, WITH SOME OF THE SHIPS AND GLOBAL MODELS SHOWING ELSA POSSIBLY REACHING 60 KT JUST BEFORE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. THIS WOULD TYPICALLY REQUIRE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR A SMALL PORTION OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA. HOWEVER, GIVEN THAT ELSA HAS BEEN HUGGING A VERY TIGHT MID-LEVEL MOISTURE GRADIENT -- A CONDITION THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS IN ABOUT 36 HOURS -- THE NEW OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND HOLDS THE PEAK INTENSITY AT 55 KT DUE TO EXPECTED INTERMITTENT DRY-AIR INTRUSIONS. SUBSEQUENT NHC FORECASTS CAN ASSESS THE NEW RECONNAISSANCE AND MODEL DATA THAT WILL BE COMING IN LATER TONIGHT, AND DETERMINE IF AN INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST AND THE ISSUANCE OF A HURRICANE WATCH OR WARNING IS REQUIRED. BY 96 HOURS, THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE WILL MERGE WITH A FRONTAL ZONE, SO THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES TO SHOWS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AT THAT TIME. KEY MESSAGES: 1. HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CUBA TONIGHT RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES OVER CUBA. AS ELSA APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS, FLORIDA PENINSULA, AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH, URBAN, AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING, WITH CONSIDERABLE FLOODING POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. MID TO LATE WEEK, HEAVY RAINS ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA, NORTH CAROLINA, AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING. 2. THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, AND A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THAT AREA. 3. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT, AND SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA WEST COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WHERE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. 4. THERE IS A RISK OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0300Z 23.5N 82.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 06/1200Z 24.9N 82.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 07/0000Z 26.9N 83.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 07/1200Z 29.2N 83.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 08/0000Z 31.6N 82.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 60H 08/1200Z 34.0N 79.8W | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTUS82KMFL060256 | 2021-07-06 02:56:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMFL | TCVMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL052021 1056 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ069-061100- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER- 1056 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - NAPLES - MARCO ISLAND - EVERGLADES CITY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING VULNERABLE AREAS, BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE. - ACT: LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE LIKELY. - PREPARE: STRONGLY CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS, ESPECIALLY IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE - MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - DITCHES AND CANALS MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN MULTIPLE PLACES. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS, PA | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ060000 | 2021-07-06 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 060000 UTC 00HR 16.0N 112.1E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 11KM/H P+12HR 16.9N 111.4E 998HPA 18M/S P+24HR 18.2N 110.5E 995HPA 20M/S P+36HR 19.5N 108.3E 998HPA 18M/S P+48HR 20.3N 106.1E 1002HPA 15M/S P+60HR 21.0N 103.9E 1005HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTUS82KKEY060259 | 2021-07-06 02:59:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KKEY | TCVKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL AL052021 1059 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 FLZ078-060930- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE LOWER KEYS- 1059 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - KEY WEST - SUGARLOAF KEY - BIG PINE KEY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH - WINDOW FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS: UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: LAST MINUTE EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE. THE AREA REMAINS SUBJECT TO LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: NOW IS THE TIME TO SHELTER FROM HAZARDOUS WIND. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: UNFOLDING - POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE UNFOLDING. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: SHELTER AGAINST STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: ALL FLOOD PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE. EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW-LYING ROADS AND PROPERTY. - ACT: STAY AWAY FROM STORM SURGE PRONE AREAS. CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: UNFOLDING - POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE UNFOLDING. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCLUDE POSSIBLE TORNADOES. - PREPARE: STAY WITHIN YOUR SHELTER KEEPING INFORMED OF THE LATEST TORNADO SITUATION. - ACT: MOVE QUICKLY TO THE SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES | | None | None |
| S2107WTNT25KNHC060847 | 2021-07-06 08:47:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 25 | KNHC | TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 0900 UTC TUE JUL 06 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST-CENTRAL AND BIG BEND COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EGMONT KEY TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GEORGIA COAST AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF ST. MARYS RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...SOUTH CAROLINA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...HAVANA...AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / EGMONT KEY TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER...FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER...FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS...FLORIDA / MOUTH OF ST. MARYS RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...SOUTH CAROLINA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CAROLINAS AND THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 82.4W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 82.4W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 82.3W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.7N 82.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.0N 83.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.4N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.9N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.5N 78.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 38.5N 74.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED N | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ221400 | 2021-07-22 14:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY IN-FA 2106 /2106/ INITIAL TIME 221400 UTC 00HR 23.5N 125.6E 955HPA 42M/S 30KTS WINDS 300KM NORTHEAST 220KM SOUTHEAST 220KM SOUTHWEST 260KM NORTHWEST 50KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST 100KM SOUTHEAST 100KM SOUTHWEST 100KM NORTHWEST 64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST 40KM SOUTHEAST 40KM SOUTHWEST 40KM NORTHWEST MOVE WNW 7KM/H= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTIN20DEMS060600 | 2021-07-06 06:00:00 | 0 | T | IN | Индия | 20 | DEMS | TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 06.07.2021 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN /THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA/ VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 06.07.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 06.07.2021. BAY OF BENGAL: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND GULF OF MARTABAN. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH / SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL REMARKS: NIL= | Новый Дели, Индия | 28.81 | 77.03 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC060848 | 2021-07-06 08:48:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 500 AM EDT TUE JUL 06 2021 ...ELSA NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 82.4W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM S OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST-CENTRAL AND BIG BEND COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EGMONT KEY TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GEORGIA COAST AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF ST. MARYS RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER, SOUTH CAROLINA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER, INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / EGMONT KEY TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER, FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER, FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA / MOUTH OF ST. MARYS RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER, SOUTH CAROLINA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CAROLINAS AND THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 500 AM EDT /0900 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH /19 KM/H/ AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY TONIGHT. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA WILL PASS NEAR T | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT45KNHC060848 | 2021-07-06 08:48:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 45 | KNHC | TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 500 AM EDT TUE JUL 06 2021 ELSA IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS, WITH TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. DOPPLER RADAR DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CORE OF ELSA IS FAIRLY SMALL AND HAS MAXIMUM WINDS OF AROUND 50 KT. THE OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ELSA ARE SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA, AND A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN LINGERING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA. THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS WILL BE INVESTIGATING ELSA LATER THIS MORNING, AND THE DATA THE PLANE COLLECTS WILL BE VALUABLE IN ASSESSING THE STORM/S INTENSITY AND STRUCTURE. ELSA IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KT ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THE STORM SHOULD TURN NORTHWARD LATER TODAY AS IT MOVES IN THE FLOW BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. THIS MOTION SHOULD TAKE THE CORE OF ELSA PARALLEL TO AND LIKELY JUST OFFSHORE OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT. AFTER THAT TIME, A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST AS ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL U.S. THIS SLIGHT CHANGE IN HEADING SHOULD BRING ELSA INLAND ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AND THEN ACROSS COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. THEREAFTER, THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS. THE NHC TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE AND LIES CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS AID TVCA. NOW THAT ELSA IS GRADUALLY PULLING AWAY FROM CUBA, IT WILL HAVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN. HOWEVER, THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINAL FOR THE STORM TO DO SO. DRY AIR ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CYCLONE AND SOME WESTERLY SHEAR SHOULD PREVENT RAPID INTENSIFICATION, BUT THE SMALL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN SLOWLY BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA. THE GFS MODEL SHOWS ELSA DEEPENING BY 5-10 MB BEFORE LANDFALL, AND THE ECMWF SHOWS EVEN GREATER PRESSURE FALLS. BASED ON THESE MODELS, THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS NUDGED UPWARD AND NOW SHOWS ELSA JUST BELOW HURRICANE FORCE BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. AFTER ELSA MOVES INLAND, STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST, BUT THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. BASED ON THIS NEW FORECAST, A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE WEST-CENTRAL AND BIG BEND FLORIDA COAST. IN ADDITION, IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT MUCH OF THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO SEE WIND, RAIN, AND SURGE IMPACTS SINCE THAT REGION WILL BE ON ELSA/S EAST SIDE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GEORGIA COAST AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. KEY MESSAGES: 1. HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT CUBA TODAY RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. AS ELSA MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH WEDNESDAY, HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH, URBAN, AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING, WITH CONSIDERABLE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. MID TO LATE WEEK, HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS COASTAL GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA, NORTH CAROLINA, AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING, WITH CONSIDERABLE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL GEORGIA AND THE LOWCOUNTRY OF SOUTH CAROLINA. 2. THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, AND A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA. 3. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE WEST-CENTRAL AND BIG BEND COAST OF FLORIDA, WHERE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND MUCH OF THE WEST COAST OF THE S | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ060600 | 2021-07-06 06:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 060600 UTC 00HR 16.0N 112.0E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 15KM/H P+12HR 17.3N 111.0E 998HPA 18M/S P+24HR 18.6N 109.4E 998HPA 18M/S P+36HR 19.7N 107.0E 998HPA 18M/S P+48HR 20.3N 105.0E 1002HPA 15M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH060446 | 2021-07-06 04:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 060300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /15.8 N/ ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /112.0 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070300 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /18.4 N/ ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /110.6 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /19.8 N/ ONE ZERO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /104.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH060745 | 2021-07-06 07:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 060600 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR TAIWAN STRAIT HAS WEAKENED INTO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH060746 | 2021-07-06 07:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 060600 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /15.8 N/ ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /112.1 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO BE SLOW-MOVING AT FIRST, AND THEN MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070600 UTC ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /19.1 N/ ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST /109.2 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC060534 | 2021-07-06 05:34:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 200 AM EDT TUE JUL 06 2021 ...ELSA NOW OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS... ...CONDITIONS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.9N 82.3W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF HAVANA CUBA ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER, INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS IN COASTAL GEORGIA, THE CAROLINAS, AND THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 200 AM EDT /0600 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED BY RADAR FROM KEY WEST, FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH /19 KM/H/, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY TONIGHT. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA WILL PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS MORNING, AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA LATER TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. SATELLITE DATA AND NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR IN KEY WEST INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH /95 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE ELSA MOVES INLAND OVER FLORIDA. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES /110 KM/ FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST OF 46 MPH /74 KM/H/ WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT THE KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB /29.74 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- KEY ME | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTNT35KNHC061146 | 2021-07-06 11:46:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 35 | KNHC | TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELSA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 800 AM EDT TUE JUL 06 2021 ...ELSA JUST WEST OF KEY WEST... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 82.6W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM W OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM S OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER, INCLUDING TAMPA BAY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... / THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS, MAYABEQUE, HAVANA, AND ARTEMISA / THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS / WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / EGMONT KEY TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER, FLORIDA A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE AUCILLA RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER, FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... / WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS, FLORIDA / MOUTH OF ST. MARYS RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER, SOUTH CAROLINA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CAROLINAS AND THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 AM EDT /1200 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST. ELSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH /19 KM/H/ AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY TONIGHT. A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, ELSA WILL CONTINUE TO PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS MORNING, AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY MORNING, ELSA IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTH FLORIDA GULF COAST AND THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAI | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTSR20WSSS060600 | 2021-07-06 06:00:00 | 0 | T | SR | Сингапур | 20 | WSSS | NO STORM WARNING= | Сингапур | 1.34 | 104.0 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH061346 | 2021-07-06 13:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 061200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /16.8 N/ ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /111.9 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH /19.7 N/ ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /107.8 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTSS20VHHH061046 | 2021-07-06 10:46:00 | 0 | T | SS | Южно-Китайское море, регион | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 060900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /16.2 N/ ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /112.0 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH /19.5 N/ ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /108.5 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. | Гонконг, Цунами обсерватория | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2107WTUS82KKEY060855 | 2021-07-06 08:55:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KKEY | TCVKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL AL052021 455 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 FLZ078-061530- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE LOWER KEYS- 455 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - KEY WEST - SUGARLOAF KEY - BIG PINE KEY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH - WINDOW FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS: THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: LAST MINUTE EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE. THE AREA REMAINS SUBJECT TO LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: NOW IS THE TIME TO SHELTER FROM HAZARDOUS WIND. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: UNFOLDING - POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE UNFOLDING. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: SHELTER AGAINST STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: ALL FLOOD PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE. EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW-LYING ROADS AND PROPERTY. - ACT: STAY AWAY FROM STORM SURGE PRONE AREAS. CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: UNFOLDING - POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE UNFOLDING. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-6 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCLUDE POSSIBLE TORNADOES. - PREPARE: STAY WITHIN YOUR SHELTER KEEPING INFORMED OF THE LATEST TORNADO SITUATION. - ACT: MOVE QUICKLY TO THE SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED | | None | None |
| S2107WTUS82KMFL060900 | 2021-07-06 09:00:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMFL | TCVMFL URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL052021 500 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 FLZ069-061700- /O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL COLLIER- 500 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - NAPLES - MARCO ISLAND - EVERGLADES CITY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR 1-3 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING VULNERABLE AREAS, BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE. - ACT: LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE GIVEN FOR YOUR AREA. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE LIKELY. - PREPARE: STRONGLY CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS, ESPECIALLY IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE - MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - DITCHES AND CANALS MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN MULTIPLE PLACES. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES. STREETS, PARKING | | None | None |
| S2107WTUS82KMLB060909 | 2021-07-06 09:09:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KMLB | TCVMLB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL052021 509 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 FLZ044-061600- /O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ NORTHERN LAKE- 509 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - LEESBURG - THE VILLAGES - MOUNT DORA / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN SQUALLS. - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: REMAINING EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES HAZARDOUS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT. - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER. - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS. - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW POSSIBLY INTENSE HAVING LARGER DAMAGE PATHS. - PREPARE: THOSE LIVING IN MANUFACTURED HOMES OR ON BOATS ARE URGED TO RELOCATE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE HAZARDOUS WEATHER ARRIVES. - ACT: LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED, BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS T | | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ060900 | 2021-07-06 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 060900 UTC 00HR 16.0N 112.0E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 20KM/H P+12HR 18.0N 111.0E 998HPA 18M/S P+24HR 19.3N 108.9E 998HPA 18M/S P+36HR 19.9N 106.6E 1002HPA 15M/S P+48HR 20.5N 104.2E 1005HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ061200 | 2021-07-06 12:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 061200 UTC 00HR 16.6N 111.7E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NNW 20KM/H P+12HR 18.4N 110.7E 998HPA 18M/S P+24HR 19.8N 108.1E 1002HPA 15M/S P+36HR 20.3N 105.6E 1005HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTNT65KNHC061745 | 2021-07-06 17:45:00 | 0 | T | NT | Северная Атлантика | 65 | KNHC | TCUAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 145 PM EDT TUE JUL 06 2021 ...RECON FINDS ELSA STRONGER... RECENT AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT THE ELSA HAS STRENGTHENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 MPH /110 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR IN PLACE OF THE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY TO REFLECT THIS CHANGE AND TO ISSUE A HURRICANE WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF 145 PM EDT...1745 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.4N 83.0W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM NW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES // FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN/PAPIN | KNHC | None | None |
| S2107WTPQ20BABJ061500 | 2021-07-06 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | СевероЗападная часть Тихого океана | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 061500 UTC 00HR 17.2N 111.4E 1002HPA 15M/S MOVE NW 20KM/H P+12HR 18.8N 109.9E 1002HPA 15M/S P+24HR 20.0N 107.1E 1002HPA 15M/S P+36HR 20.4N 105.0E 1005HPA 12M/S= | Пекин,Бейджинг,Китай | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2107WTUS82KKEY061517 | 2021-07-06 15:17:00 | 0 | T | US | США | 82 | KKEY | TCVKEY URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED ELSA LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL AL052021 1117 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 FLZ078-062330- /O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MONROE LOWER KEYS- 1117 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... / LOCATIONS AFFECTED - KEY WEST - SUGARLOAF KEY - BIG PINE KEY / WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR WIND 39 TO 57 MPH - THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: PLAN FOR HAZARDOUS WIND OF EQUIVALENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. - PREPARE: LAST MINUTE EFFORTS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE. THE AREA REMAINS SUBJECT TO LIMITED WIND DAMAGE. - ACT: NOW IS THE TIME TO SHELTER FROM HAZARDOUS WIND. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: UNFOLDING - POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE UNFOLDING. / STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND - THE STORM SURGE THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: SHELTER AGAINST STORM SURGE FLOODING GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - PREPARE: ALL FLOOD PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE. EXPECT FLOODING OF LOW-LYING ROADS AND PROPERTY. - ACT: STAY AWAY FROM STORM SURGE PRONE AREAS. CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: UNFOLDING - POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE UNFOLDING. / FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 1-3 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING RAIN - THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN. EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES ARE POSSIBLE. - PREPARE: CONSIDER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS IF YOU ARE IN AN AREA VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. - ACT: HEED ANY FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS. FAILURE TO TAKE ACTION MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF LIFE. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. / TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES - THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT. - PLAN: EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCLUDE POSSIBLE TORNADOES. - PREPARE: STAY WITHIN YOUR SHELTER KEEPING INFORMED OF THE LATEST TORNADO SITUATION. - ACT: MOVE QUICKLY TO THE SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR SHELTER IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS. - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS. - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED, LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OF | | None | None |
