| S2108WTPN31PHNC022200 | 2021-08-02 22:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 31 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 013// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z --- NEAR 15.6N 122.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 122.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 16.5N 123.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 17.4N 124.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 18.3N 125.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 19.2N 126.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 20.1N 128.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 21.1N 129.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 22.0N 134.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 22.0N 139.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 022200Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 122.8W. 02AUG21. HURRICANE 08E /HILDA/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1069 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030400Z, 031000Z, 031600Z AND 032200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNINGS /WTPN33 PGTW/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN33PHNC022200 | 2021-08-02 22:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 33 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 006// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z --- NEAR 18.6N 114.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 114.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 19.5N 116.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 20.4N 117.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 21.2N 118.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 21.2N 118.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 022200Z POSITION NEAR 18.9N 115.1W. 02AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 10E /IGNACIO/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 857 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030400Z, 031000Z, 031600Z AND 032200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08E /HILDA/ WARNINGS /WTPN31 PGTW/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN31PHNC030400 | 2021-08-03 04:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 31 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/HURRICANE 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 014// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 16.2N 123.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 123.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 17.1N 123.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 18.0N 124.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 18.9N 125.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 19.8N 127.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.8N 128.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 21.6N 130.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 22.5N 135.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 22.6N 139.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 030400Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 123.4W. 03AUG21. HURRICANE 08E /HILDA/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1042 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031000Z, 031600Z, 032200Z AND 040400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNINGS /WTPN33 PHNC/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN33PHNC030400 | 2021-08-03 04:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 33 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 006// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 19.3N 115.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 115.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 20.3N 116.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 21.1N 117.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 21.6N 117.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 030400Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 115.8W. 03AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 10E /IGNACIO/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 809 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031000Z, 031600Z, 032200Z AND 040400Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 08E /HILDA/ WARNINGS /WTPN31 PHNC/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN31PHNC031000 | 2021-08-03 10:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 31 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 015// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 015 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 08E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 16.8N 123.7W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 123.7W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 17.6N 124.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 18.6N 125.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 19.4N 126.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 20.2N 128.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 21.0N 129.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 21.7N 132.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 22.4N 136.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 031000Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 124.0W. 03AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1019 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031600Z, 032200Z, 040400Z AND 041000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNINGS /WTPN33 PHNC/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN33PHNC031000 | 2021-08-03 10:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 33 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 007// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 007 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 20.0N 116.2W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 116.2W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 20.9N 116.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 21.2N 116.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 031000Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 116.4W. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 764 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031600Z, 032200Z AND 040400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/ WARNINGS /WTPN31 PHNC/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN31PHNC031600 | 2021-08-03 16:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 31 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 016// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/ WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 17.3N 124.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 124.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 18.2N 125.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 19.1N 126.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 19.9N 127.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 20.8N 129.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 21.6N 131.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 22.3N 133.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 23.0N 138.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 031600Z POSITION NEAR 17.6N 124.6W. 03AUG21. TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1003 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z, 040400Z, 041000Z AND 041600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 008 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNINGS /WTPN33 PHNC/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN33PHNC031600 | 2021-08-03 16:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 33 | PHNC | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 008// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/ WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 20.3N 116.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 116.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 20.9N 116.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 20.6N 116.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY POST-TROP/REMNT LOW --- REMARKS: 031600Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 116.7W. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E /IGNACIO/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 744 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z, 040400Z AND 041000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E /HILDA/ WARNINGS /WTPN31 PHNC/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPN31PGTW030300 | 2021-08-03 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 31 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 004// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 26.6N 152.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N 152.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 28.4N 149.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 29.4N 147.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 29.9N 145.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 27.0N 151.5E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 177 NM NORTHWEST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNINGS /WTPN32 PGTW/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN32PGTW030300 | 2021-08-03 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 32 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 002// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 113.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 113.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 21.3N 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 21.3N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 21.9N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 22.8N 117.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 24.6N 118.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 25.4N 119.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 27.5N 122.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 113.7E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNINGS /WTPN31 PGTW/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN51PGTW030300 | 2021-08-03 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 51 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 12W NWP 210803012215 2021080300 12W TWELVE 004 02 320 16 SATL 020 T000 266N 1521E 030 T012 284N 1499E 030 T024 294N 1473E 025 T036 299N 1455E 020 AMP 024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 26.6N 152.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N 152.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 28.4N 149.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 29.4N 147.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 29.9N 145.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 27.0N 151.5E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 177 NM NORTHWEST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1221073118 170N1527E 15 1221080100 176N1533E 20 1221080106 188N1540E 20 1221080112 196N1546E 20 1221080118 204N1548E 20 1221080200 214N1549E 20 1221080206 229N1542E 25 1221080212 237N1537E 30 1221080218 254N1532E 30 1221080300 266N1521E 30 | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN52PGTW030300 | 2021-08-03 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 52 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210803014747 2021080300 13W THIRTEEN 002 02 060 04 SATL 025 T000 213N 1134E 025 T012 213N 1146E 030 T024 213N 1152E 035 R034 000 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD T036 219N 1162E 040 R034 020 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD T048 228N 1174E 040 R034 020 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 010 NW QD T072 246N 1188E 040 R034 000 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 020 NW QD T096 254N 1195E 035 R034 040 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD T120 275N 1224E 035 R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 113.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 113.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 21.3N 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 21.3N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 21.9N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 22.8N 117.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 24.6N 118.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 25.4N 119.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 27.5N 122.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 113.7E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1321080118 207N1087E 15 1321080200 207N1096E 15 1321080206 207N1104E 15 1321080212 210N1117E 20 1321080218 211N1130E 25 1321080300 213N1134E 25 NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN31PGTW030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 31 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 005// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 27.5N 150.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N 150.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 28.8N 148.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 29.8N 146.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030900Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 150.2E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 537 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AND BEGAN TO UNRAVEL AS THE MAIN CONVECTION BECAME SHEARED NORTHEASTWARD. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EXPOSED CIRCULATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T1.5 AND REFLECTS THE STARK 6-HR DETERIORATION. TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO FULLY DISSIPATE IN 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNINGS /WTPN32 PGTW/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN32PGTW030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 32 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 003// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 21.5N 113.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 113.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 21.7N 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 21.9N 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 22.4N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 23.2N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 24.8N 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 26.2N 119.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 27.9N 122.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030900Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 114.0E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNINGS /WTPN31 PGTW/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN51PGTW030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 51 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 12W NWP 210803065707 2021080306 12W TWELVE 005 02 310 15 SATL 010 T000 275N 1508E 025 T012 288N 1483E 020 T024 298N 1463E 020 AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/ WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 27.5N 150.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N 150.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 28.8N 148.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 29.8N 146.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030900Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 150.2E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W /TWELVE/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 537 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL 1221073118 170N1527E 15 1221080100 176N1533E 20 1221080106 188N1540E 20 1221080112 196N1546E 20 1221080118 204N1548E 20 1221080200 214N1549E 20 1221080206 229N1542E 25 1221080212 237N1537E 30 1221080218 254N1532E 30 1221080300 266N1521E 30 1221080306 275N1508E 25 | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN52PGTW030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 52 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210803072713 2021080306 13W THIRTEEN 003 02 060 04 SATL RADR 015 T000 215N 1138E 030 T012 217N 1146E 035 R034 010 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD T024 219N 1154E 040 R034 040 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 020 NW QD T036 224N 1162E 040 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 010 NW QD T048 232N 1171E 035 R034 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 010 NW QD T072 248N 1184E 035 R034 020 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD T096 262N 1198E 035 R034 010 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 000 NW QD T120 279N 1222E 040 R034 030 NE QD 080 SE QD 110 SW QD 010 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z --- NEAR 21.5N 113.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 113.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 21.7N 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 21.9N 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 22.4N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 23.2N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 24.8N 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 26.2N 119.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 27.9N 122.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030900Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 114.0E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z, 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z. REFER TO FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// 1321080118 207N1087E 15 1321080200 207N1096E 15 1321080206 207N1104E 15 1321080212 210N1117E 20 1321080218 211N1130E 25 1321080300 213N1134E 25 1321080306 215N1138E 30 NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN32PGTW031500 | 2021-08-03 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 32 | PGTW | MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 004// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 114.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 114.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 21.1N 115.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 21.7N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 22.5N 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 23.6N 118.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 25.3N 119.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 27.1N 121.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 29.7N 124.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 031500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 114.6E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 72 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W /TWELVE/ WARNINGS /WTPN31 PGTW/ FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPN52PGTW031500 | 2021-08-03 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PN | North Pacific area | 52 | PGTW | WARNING ATCG MIL 13W NWP 210803130917 2021080312 13W THIRTEEN 004 02 130 06 SATL RADR 010 T000 211N 1143E 030 T012 211N 1153E 035 R034 010 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD T024 217N 1165E 040 R034 010 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD T036 225N 1175E 040 R034 000 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD T048 236N 1180E 035 R034 010 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD T072 253N 1192E 035 R034 020 NE QD 150 SE QD 070 SW QD 010 NW QD T096 271N 1214E 040 R034 030 NE QD 160 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD T120 297N 1246E 040 R034 030 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 020 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/ WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 114.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 114.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 21.1N 115.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 21.7N 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 22.5N 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 23.6N 118.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 25.3N 119.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 27.1N 121.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 29.7N 124.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 031500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 114.6E. 03AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W /THIRTEEN/, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 72 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W /TWELVE/ 1321080118 207N1087E 15 1321080200 207N1096E 15 1321080206 207N1104E 15 1321080212 210N1117E 20 1321080218 211N1130E 25 1321080300 213N1134E 25 1321080306 215N1138E 30 1321080312 211N1143E 30 NNNN | Guam (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) | 13.27 | 144.72 |
| S2108WTPQ31PGUM022204 | 2021-08-02 22:04:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 31 | PGUM | TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP122021 804 AM CHST TUE AUG 3 2021 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 153.3E ABOUT 45 MILES WEST OF MINAMITORISHIMA ABOUT 795 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 920 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ABOUT 925 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST...330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.3 DEGREES EAST. 12W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 35 MPH. 12W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, POSSIBLY BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 200 PM CHST. // STANKO | | None | None |
| S2108WTPQ31PGUM030203 | 2021-08-03 02:03:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 31 | PGUM | TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP122021 1203 PM CHST TUE AUG 3 2021 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE MOVING NORTHWEST... CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY -------------------------- NONE. WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- NONE. SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.0N 151.5E ABOUT 240 MILES NORTHWEST OF MINAMITORISHIMA ABOUT 900 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN ABOUT 1030 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...320 DEGREES AT 18 MPH DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.5 DEGREES EAST. 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 35 MPH. 12W IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON 12W. // HONG | | None | None |
| S2108WTPQ20RJTD030000 | 2021-08-03 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030000UTC 21.5N 113.3E POOR MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040000UTC 22.0N 114.7E 80NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ30RJTD030000 | 2021-08-03 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 30 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 1 FOR TD LOCATED AT 21.5N 113.3E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS A TD IS LOCATED AT 21.5N, 113.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC. 3.TRACK FORECAST THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL BE UPGRADED TO TS INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA. = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ50RJTD030000 | 2021-08-03 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 50 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030000UTC 21.5N 113.3E POOR MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040000UTC 22.0N 114.7E 80NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 48HF 050000UTC 22.7N 115.9E 130NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 72HF 060000UTC 23.3N 117.0E 200NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 96HF 070000UTC 25.2N 119.4E 280NM 70/ MOVE NE 07KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 120HF 080000UTC 27.8N 122.1E 390NM 70/ MOVE NE 09KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ20RJTD030300 | 2021-08-03 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030300UTC 21.5N 113.4E FAIR MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040300UTC 21.8N 114.8E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ50RJTD030300 | 2021-08-03 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 50 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030300UTC 21.5N 113.4E FAIR MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040300UTC 21.8N 114.8E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 45HF 050000UTC 22.7N 115.9E 130NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 69HF 060000UTC 23.3N 117.0E 200NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 93HF 070000UTC 25.2N 119.4E 280NM 70/ MOVE NE 07KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 117HF 080000UTC 27.8N 122.1E 390NM 70/ MOVE NE 09KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ20RJTD030600 | 2021-08-03 06:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030600UTC 21.5N 113.4E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040600UTC 21.5N 114.9E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ30RJTD030600 | 2021-08-03 06:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 30 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 2 FOR TD LOCATED AT 21.5N 113.4E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS A TD IS LOCATED AT 21.5N, 113.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. 3.TRACK FORECAST THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT120. THE SYSTEM WILL BE UPGRADED TO TS INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA. = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ50RJTD030600 | 2021-08-03 06:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 50 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030600UTC 21.5N 113.4E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040600UTC 21.5N 114.9E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 48HF 050600UTC 22.6N 116.8E 130NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 72HF 060600UTC 24.0N 118.5E 200NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 96HF 070600UTC 25.4N 120.0E 280NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 120HF 080600UTC 28.0N 123.5E 390NM 70/ MOVE NE 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ20RJTD030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030900UTC 21.3N 113.6E FAIR MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040900UTC 21.5N 115.2E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ50RJTD030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 50 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 030900UTC 21.3N 113.6E FAIR MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 040900UTC 21.5N 115.2E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 45HF 050600UTC 22.6N 116.8E 130NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 69HF 060600UTC 24.0N 118.5E 200NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 93HF 070600UTC 25.4N 120.0E 280NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 117HF 080600UTC 28.0N 123.5E 390NM 70/ MOVE NE 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ20RJTD031200 | 2021-08-03 12:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 031200UTC 21.2N 114.1E FAIR MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 041200UTC 21.5N 115.9E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ30RJTD031200 | 2021-08-03 12:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 30 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 3 FOR TD LOCATED AT 21.2N 114.1E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS A TD IS LOCATED AT 21.2N, 114.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND RADAR IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. 3.TRACK FORECAST THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL BE UPGRADED TO TS INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA. = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ50RJTD031200 | 2021-08-03 12:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 50 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 031200UTC 21.2N 114.1E FAIR MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 041200UTC 21.5N 115.9E 80NM 70/ MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 48HF 051200UTC 23.0N 117.5E 130NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 72HF 061200UTC 24.4N 118.9E 200NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 96HF 071200UTC 25.9N 120.5E 280NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 120HF 081200UTC 28.3N 124.7E 390NM 70/ MOVE NE 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ20RJTD031500 | 2021-08-03 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 031500UTC 21.1N 114.3E FAIR MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 041500UTC 21.9N 116.3E 80NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ50RJTD031500 | 2021-08-03 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 50 | RJTD | RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 031500UTC 21.1N 114.3E FAIR MOVE E SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 030KT GUST 045KT FORECAST 24HF 041500UTC 21.9N 116.3E 80NM 70/ MOVE ENE SLOWLY PRES 994HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT 45HF 051200UTC 23.0N 117.5E 130NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 69HF 061200UTC 24.4N 118.9E 200NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 93HF 071200UTC 25.9N 120.5E 280NM 70/ MOVE NE SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT 117HF 081200UTC 28.3N 124.7E 390NM 70/ MOVE NE 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT GUST 060KT = | Tokyo,Honshu I.,Japan | 36.0 | 138.18 |
| S2108WTPQ20BABJ030000 | 2021-08-03 00:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 05 INITIAL TIME 030000 UTC 00HR 21.2N 113.6E 992HPA 15M/S MOVE E 10KM/H P+12HR 21.3N 114.6E 992HPA 15M/S P+24HR 21.5N 115.5E 990HPA 18M/S P+36HR 22.0N 116.4E 988HPA 20M/S P+48HR 22.8N 117.0E 985HPA 23M/S P+60HR 23.8N 117.4E 985HPA 23M/S P+72HR 24.8N 118.2E 990HPA 18M/S P+96HR 25.9N 119.1E 990HPA 18M/S P+120HR 27.9N 121.4E 988HPA 20M/S= | Peking (Beijing) | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2108WTPQ20BABJ030300 | 2021-08-03 03:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 05 INITIAL TIME 030300 UTC 00HR 21.3N 113.6E 992HPA 15M/S MOVE ENE 9KM/H P+12HR 21.3N 114.2E 992HPA 15M/S P+24HR 21.4N 114.9E 990HPA 18M/S P+36HR 22.0N 116.0E 988HPA 20M/S P+48HR 22.9N 116.8E 985HPA 23M/S P+60HR 23.8N 117.3E 985HPA 23M/S P+72HR 24.5N 117.9E 990HPA 18M/S P+96HR 26.2N 119.4E 990HPA 18M/S P+120HR 28.0N 122.4E 988HPA 20M/S= | Peking (Beijing) | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2108WTPQ20BABJ030600 | 2021-08-03 06:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 05 INITIAL TIME 030600 UTC 00HR 21.4N 113.7E 992HPA 15M/S MOVE E 5KM/H P+12HR 21.4N 114.2E 992HPA 15M/S P+24HR 21.5N 115.1E 990HPA 18M/S P+36HR 22.0N 116.1E 988HPA 20M/S P+48HR 22.9N 116.9E 985HPA 23M/S P+60HR 23.9N 117.3E 985HPA 23M/S P+72HR 24.8N 118.0E 990HPA 18M/S P+96HR 26.1N 119.6E 990HPA 18M/S P+120HR 26.7N 122.7E 988HPA 20M/S= | Peking (Beijing) | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2108WTPQ20BABJ030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 05 INITIAL TIME 030900 UTC 00HR 21.4N 113.8E 992HPA 15M/S MOVE E 5KM/H P+12HR 21.4N 114.3E 992HPA 15M/S P+24HR 21.5N 115.1E 990HPA 18M/S P+36HR 22.1N 116.1E 988HPA 20M/S P+48HR 23.2N 116.9E 985HPA 23M/S P+60HR 24.2N 117.4E 988HPA 20M/S P+72HR 25.1N 118.1E 990HPA 18M/S P+96HR 26.2N 120.2E 990HPA 18M/S P+120HR 28.4N 124.0E 985HPA 23M/S= | Peking (Beijing) | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2108WTPQ20BABJ031200 | 2021-08-03 12:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 05 INITIAL TIME 031200 UTC 00HR 21.3N 114.0E 992HPA 15M/S MOVE E 5KM/H P+12HR 21.3N 114.6E 992HPA 15M/S P+24HR 21.6N 115.6E 988HPA 20M/S P+36HR 22.4N 116.6E 988HPA 20M/S P+48HR 23.5N 117.1E 985HPA 23M/S P+60HR 24.7N 117.6E 988HPA 20M/S P+72HR 25.4N 118.4E 990HPA 18M/S P+96HR 26.5N 121.0E 990HPA 18M/S P+120HR 28.7N 124.4E 985HPA 23M/S= | Peking (Beijing) | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2108WTPQ20BABJ031500 | 2021-08-03 15:00:00 | 0 | T | PQ | Western North Pacific | 20 | BABJ | SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 05 INITIAL TIME 031500 UTC 00HR 21.1N 114.2E 992HPA 15M/S MOVE E 7KM/H P+12HR 21.2N 115.0E 990HPA 18M/S P+24HR 21.7N 116.1E 988HPA 20M/S P+36HR 23.0N 117.0E 985HPA 23M/S P+48HR 24.2N 117.4E 988HPA 20M/S P+60HR 25.1N 117.9E 990HPA 18M/S P+72HR 25.9N 119.1E 990HPA 18M/S P+96HR 26.6N 121.3E 990HPA 18M/S P+120HR 28.7N 124.9E 988HPA 20M/S= | Peking (Beijing) | 39.87 | 116.467 |
| S2108WTPZ25KNHC030232 | 2021-08-03 02:32:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 25 | KNHC | TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 0300 UTC TUE AUG 03 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 115.7W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 115.7W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 115.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.3N 116.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.1N 117.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.6N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 115.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z // FORECASTER PASCH | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ35KNHC030232 | 2021-08-03 02:32:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 35 | KNHC | TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 800 PM PDT MON AUG 02 2021 ...DISORGANIZED IGNACIO LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TOMORROW NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 115.7W ABOUT 435 MI...705 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 PM PDT /0300 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 115.7 WEST. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH /15 KM/H/ AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH /65 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY AND DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TUESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES /75 KM/ FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB /29.68 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT. // FORECASTER PASCH | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ45KNHC030233 | 2021-08-03 02:33:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 45 | KNHC | TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 800 PM PDT MON AUG 02 2021 THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF IGNACIO IS BECOMING EVEN MORE SEPARATED FROM THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION AS STRONG EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE CYCLONE. THE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS ALSO SHRINKING IN COVERAGE. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB STILL GIVE 35 KT, BUT THAT IS PROBABLY A GENEROUS ESTIMATE FOR THE STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM GIVEN ITS DISHEVELED APPEARANCE. IGNACIO IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD, OR ABOUT 310/8 KT. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED WHILE IT NEARS A WEAKNESS BETWEEN TWO LOW- TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONES IN A DAY OR SO. THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS AN EASTWARD TURN IN 24-36 HOURS, BUT THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE INFLUENCED MORE BY THE WEAK SURFACE FLOW, AND MOVE VERY SLOWLY, BY THAT TIME. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED EASTWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE, BUT IS NOT NEARLY AS FAR EAST AS THE LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG SHEAR AND OVER MARGINAL SSTS THROUGH TOMORROW. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT THE CYCLONE WILL WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY, AND THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING IN 48 HOURS. GIVEN THE CURRENT DISORGANIZING TREND, HOWEVER, IGNACIO MAY DEGENERATE EVEN FASTER THAN SHOWN HERE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0300Z 19.6N 115.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 03/1200Z 20.3N 116.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 04/0000Z 21.1N 117.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 04/1200Z 21.6N 117.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED // FORECASTER PASCH | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ23KNHC030234 | 2021-08-03 02:34:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 23 | KNHC | TCMEP3 HURRICANE HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 0300 UTC TUE AUG 03 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 123.3W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 123.3W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.1W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.1N 123.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.0N 124.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.9N 125.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.8N 127.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 128.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.6N 130.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.6N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 123.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z // FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ33KNHC030234 | 2021-08-03 02:34:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 33 | KNHC | TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE HILDA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 800 PM PDT MON AUG 02 2021 ...HILDA STILL A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 123.3W ABOUT 980 MI...1575 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 PM PDT /0300 UTC/, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST. HILDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH /11 KM/H/. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH /120 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILDA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES /30 KM/ FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES /150 KM/. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB /29.24 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT. // FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ43KNHC030236 | 2021-08-03 02:36:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 43 | KNHC | TCDEP3 HURRICANE HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 800 PM PDT MON AUG 02 2021 MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR CONTINUES TO TAKE A TOLL ON HILDA THIS EVENING. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ON THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SIDES OF THE CIRCULATION HAS A SHARP EDGE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. RECENT SSMIS MICROWAVE DATA SHOW THE STRUCTURE OF HILDA HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE EARLIER TODAY, WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE UPSHEAR PORTION OF THE EYEWALL AND A SLIGHT DISPLACEMENT OF THE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL CENTERS. THE VARIOUS OBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND SUBJECTIVE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB SUPPORT HOLDING THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 65 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. HILDA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD, OR 315/6 KT, UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK, AND THE TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED DURING THIS PERIOD. AS HILDA CONTINUES WEAKENING AND THE RIDGE BUILDS WESTWARD, HILDA IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WESTWARD WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, A COMPLICATING FACTOR IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME INTERACTION WITH THE REMNANTS OF TD NINE-E, WHICH NOW HAVE A HIGH CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY POLEWARD ONCE AGAIN AT DAY 3 AND BEYOND, BRINGING IT CLOSER TO THE RELIABLE CONSENSUS AIDS TVCE AND HCCA AND ACCOUNTING FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED POSSIBILITY OF SOME INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS. MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND AFTERWARDS THE COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG HILDA/S FORECAST TRACK WILL OFFSET ANY REDUCTION IN SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE, WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE OFFICIAL NHC INTENSITY FORECAST LIES SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AIDS IN THE NEAR-TERM, BUT THEN CLOSELY FOLLOWS IVCN AND HCCA ONCE HILDA REACHES THE COOLER WATERS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY 96 H, BUT THIS TRANSITION COULD OCCUR SOON AFTER 72 H BASED ON SOME OF THE LATEST GFS AND ECMWF SIMULATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0300Z 16.4N 123.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 03/1200Z 17.1N 123.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 04/0000Z 18.0N 124.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 04/1200Z 18.9N 125.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 05/0000Z 19.8N 127.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 05/1200Z 20.8N 128.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 72H 06/0000Z 21.6N 130.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 07/0000Z 22.5N 135.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 08/0000Z 22.6N 139.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW // FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ25KNHC030846 | 2021-08-03 08:46:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 25 | KNHC | TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 0900 UTC TUE AUG 03 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 116.3W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 116.3W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 116.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.9N 116.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.2N 116.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 116.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z // FORECASTER BROWN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ35KNHC030847 | 2021-08-03 08:47:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 35 | KNHC | TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 200 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 ...IGNACIO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TUESDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 116.3W ABOUT 455 MI...730 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 200 AM PDT /0900 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 116.3 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH /11 KM/H/. A SLOWER NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TODAY, FOLLOWED BY SLOW NORTHEASTWARD OR EASTWARD MOTION TUESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH /55 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TUESDAY NIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB /29.74 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM PDT. // FORECASTER BROWN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ45KNHC030847 | 2021-08-03 08:47:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 45 | KNHC | TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 200 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 STRONG EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR HAS CONTINUED TO TAKE A TOLL ON IGNACIO OVERNIGHT WITH A SMALL CLUSTER OF REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION NOW DISPLACED OVER 60 N MI TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. AN ASCAT OVERPASS THAT ARRIVED SHORTLY AFTER THE RELEASE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY INDICATES THAT IGNACIO HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH PEAK WINDS OF AROUND 30 KT. THAT IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY A BLEND OF THE LATEST DVORAK T- AND CI-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE STRONG SHEAR AND MARGINAL SSTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE GRADUAL WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, AND IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TUESDAY NIGHT. THE GFS, ECMWF, AND UKMET ALL SHOW THE REMNANT LOW OPENING UP INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SHORTLY THEREAFTER, AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. IGNACIO IS MOVING SLOWER TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THAN BEFORE, OR ABOUT 315/5 KT. A FURTHER REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS PREDICTED OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AS IGNACIO WEAKENS AND IS STEERED BY THE WEAKER LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE TRACK GUIDANCE AGAIN SUGGESTS THAT THE REMNANT LOW WILL TURN NORTHEASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING, AND THE UPDATED NHC TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0900Z 20.1N 116.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 03/1800Z 20.9N 116.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 04/0600Z 21.2N 116.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED // FORECASTER BROWN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ23KNHC030856 | 2021-08-03 08:56:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 23 | KNHC | TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 0900 UTC TUE AUG 03 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 123.9W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 123.9W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 123.7W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.6N 124.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.6N 125.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.4N 126.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.2N 128.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N 129.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.7N 132.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.4N 136.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 123.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z // FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ33KNHC030857 | 2021-08-03 08:57:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 33 | KNHC | TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HILDA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 200 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 ...HILDA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 123.9W ABOUT 995 MI...1600 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 200 AM PDT /0900 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 123.9 WEST. HILDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH /13 KM/H/. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH /110 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND HILDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES /130 KM/ FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB /29.30 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM PDT. // FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ43KNHC030900 | 2021-08-03 09:00:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 43 | KNHC | TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 200 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 OVERNIGHT, HILDA/S DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO PULSE, BUT PRIMARILY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION AS 15-20 KT OF NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES DISPLACING THIS ACTIVITY DOWNSHEAR. A HELPFUL ASCAT-B PASS AT 0602 UTC INDICATED THE CENTER OF HILDA WAS LOCATED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE CIRRUS CANOPY, WITH THE INSTRUMENT ALSO INDICATING A PEAK WIND RETRIEVAL OF 53 KT. THE MOST RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY CONCURS WITH THIS ASSESSMENT AND ALSO INDICATES THE EARLIER EYEWALL IS NO LONGER WELL-DEFINED. WHILE THE 0600 UTC SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE BOTH T4.0/65 KT, THE MOST RECENT OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM UW-CIMSS WAS DOWN TO T3.5/55 KT. GIVEN THE DEVOLVING CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE SEEN ON MICROWAVE, THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 60 KT, LEANING TOWARDS THE LOWER INTENSITY ESTIMATES. HILDA CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD, AT 315/7 KT AS IT REMAINS POSITIONED SOUTHWEST OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD WESTWARD OVER THE EAST PACIFIC AS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OFFSHORE OF CALIFORNIA LIFTS OUT. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN SHOULD ALLOW HILDA TO GRADUALLY BEND TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION SLIGHTLY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. HILDA WILL ALSO BECOME INCREASINGLY INFLUENCED BY LOW-LEVEL RIDGING, STEERING THE CYCLONE MORE WESTWARD AS IT BECOMES A WEAK AND SHALLOW CYCLONE. THE LATEST NHC TRACK FORECAST IS JUST A TOUCH SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK, BLENDING THE RELIABLE TVCE AND HCCA CONSENSUS AIDS. NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, RELATED TO THE REMAINING CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW OF IGNACIO, IS EXPECTED TO KEEP HILDA ON A WEAKENING TREND OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. EVEN THOUGH THIS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THEREAFTER, HILDA WILL ALSO BE CROSSING THE 25 DEGREE CELSIUS SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ISOTHERM IN 24 HOURS. THUS, CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE LATEST NHC INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS THE HCCA CONSENSUS AID CLOSELY, SHOWING WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY, WHEN MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ORGANIZED DEEP-CONVECTION WILL CEASE. THE REMNANT LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO OPEN UP INTO A TROUGH BY THE WEEKEND, WELL EAST OF HAWAII. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0900Z 17.0N 123.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 03/1800Z 17.6N 124.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 04/0600Z 18.6N 125.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 04/1800Z 19.4N 126.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 05/0600Z 20.2N 128.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 05/1800Z 21.0N 129.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 06/0600Z 21.7N 132.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 07/0600Z 22.4N 136.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED // FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ25KNHC031432 | 2021-08-03 14:32:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 25 | KNHC | TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 1500 UTC TUE AUG 03 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 116.7W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 116.7W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 116.6W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.9N 116.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 116.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z // FORECASTER STEWART | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ35KNHC031432 | 2021-08-03 14:32:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 35 | KNHC | TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 ...IGNACIO EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.5N 116.7W ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 AM PDT /1500 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 116.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH /9 KM/H/. A SLOWER NORTHWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TODAY, FOLLOWED BY SLOW NORTHEASTWARD OR EASTWARD MOTION TONIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATION ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH /55 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB /29.74 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM PDT. // FORECASTER STEWART | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ23KNHC031433 | 2021-08-03 14:33:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 23 | KNHC | TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 1500 UTC TUE AUG 03 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 124.5W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 124.5W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 124.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.2N 125.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.1N 126.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.9N 127.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 129.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.6N 131.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.3N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 124.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z // FORECASTER BLAKE | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ33KNHC031433 | 2021-08-03 14:33:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 33 | KNHC | TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HILDA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 ...HILDA FORECAST TO LOSE STRENGTH THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 124.5W ABOUT 1015 MI...1635 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- AT 800 AM PDT /1500 UTC/, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 124.5 WEST. HILDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH /13 KM/H/. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH /110 KM/H/ WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND HILDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THURSDAY AND INTO A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES /130 KM/ FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB /29.30 INCHES/. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM PDT. // FORECASTER BLAKE | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ45KNHC031434 | 2021-08-03 14:34:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 45 | KNHC | TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102021 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 STRONG EAST-NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF ABOUT 25 KT CONTINUES ACROSS IGNACIO, WITH ONLY SMALL CLUSTER OF WEAKENING THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED WEST OF THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEEN STEADILY WARMING SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY, AND CLOUD-TOP TEMPERATURES ARE NOW BARELY -55C. WITH THE SHEAR FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE WHILE IGNACIO MOVES OVER SUB-26-DEG-C SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES BY THIS AFTERNOON, REGENERATION OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER APPEARS HIGHLY UNLIKELY. AS A RESULT, IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY THIS EVENING, IF NOT SOONER, WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 335/05 KT. AS IGNACIO WEAKENS FURTHER AND BECOMES MORE VERTICALLY SHALLOW, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER WITHIN WEAK, LOW-LEVEL STEERING CURRENTS UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES BY 36 HOURS, IF NOT EARLIER. THE NEW NHC FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED SIMPLE- AND CORRECTED- CONSENSUS MODELS, EXCEPT FOR THE EARLIER DISSIPATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 20.5N 116.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 04/0000Z 20.9N 116.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 04/1200Z 20.6N 116.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED // FORECASTER STEWART | | None | None |
| S2108WTPZ43KNHC031436 | 2021-08-03 14:36:00 | 0 | T | PZ | Eastern Pacific area | 43 | KNHC | TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 03 2021 THERE/S BEEN LITTLE CHANGE WITH THE STRUCTURE OF HILDA OVERNIGHT AS DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER DUE TO PERSISTENT NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL EYE FEATURE IN 37 GHZ MICROWAVE DATA REMAINS ON THE LATEST PASSES, BUT IT ISN/T VERY DEEP BECAUSE OF THE SHEAR. A BLEND OF THE T- AND CI-NUMBERS FROM TAFB/SAB, PLUS THE UW-CIMSS SATCON, YIELDS 60 KT AS THE INITIAL WIND SPEED. HILDA SHOULD WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, FIRST PRIMARILY DUE TO SHEAR, THEN COOL WATER TEMPERATURES AND A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT ON WED-FRI. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO, AND THE LATEST FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS NHC ADVISORY AND THE MODEL CONSENSUS. HILDA SHOULD DECAY INTO A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY AND DISSIPATE AS A TROUGH THIS WEEKEND WELL EAST OF THE HAWAII. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE, 315/7 KT, IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. HILDA IS MAINTAINING THIS MOTION AS IT IS STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE CONSISTENTLY BUILDING THIS RIDGE WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS OUT ALONG 135W, CAUSING HILDA TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY THURSDAY. THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT FORECAST DIFFERENCE IS HOW QUICKLY THE CYCLONE MOVES, MOSTLY IN THE LATTER STAGES, WITH MORE OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWING A FASTER MOTION, PERHAPS BECAUSE THE MODELS ARE SHOWING A WEAKER HILDA BEING STEERED BY THE QUICKER LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE NEW NHC PREDICTION SHOWS THAT ACCELERATION AT LONG-RANGE AS WELL, NEAR OR JUST BEHIND THE LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 17.5N 124.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 04/0000Z 18.2N 125.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 04/1200Z 19.1N 126.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 05/0000Z 19.9N 127.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 05/1200Z 20.8N 129.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 06/0000Z 21.6N 131.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 06/1200Z 22.3N 133.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 07/1200Z 23.0N 138.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED // FORECASTER BLAKE | | None | None |
| S2108WTSS20VHHH022245 | 2021-08-02 22:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | South China Sea area | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 022100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /21.1 N/ ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /113.0 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 032100 UTC TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /21.2 N/ ONE ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /114.8 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 042100 UTC TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH /22.3 N/ ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /116.8 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 052100 UTC TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH /24.7 N/ ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /118.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH /26.6 N/ ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /122.4 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /28.2 N/ ONE TWO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /126.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. | TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2108WTSS20VHHH030145 | 2021-08-03 01:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | South China Sea area | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH /21.3 N/ ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /113.4 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040000 UTC TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /21.2 N/ ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /115.1 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050000 UTC TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH /22.7 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /117.1 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060000 UTC TWO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH /24.9 N/ ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST /119.2 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /26.8 N/ ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST /122.8 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /28.4 N/ ONE TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /126.5 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. | TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2108WTSS20VHHH030445 | 2021-08-03 04:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | South China Sea area | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /21.4 N/ ONE ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /113.5 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040300 UTC TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /21.2 N/ ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST /115.3 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050300 UTC TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /23.1 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /117.4 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060300 UTC TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /25.1 N/ ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /119.6 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070300 UTC TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH /27.0 N/ ONE TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST /123.2 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH /28.6 N/ ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /127.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. | TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2108WTSS20VHHH030745 | 2021-08-03 07:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | South China Sea area | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030600 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH /21.3 N/ ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /113.6 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040600 UTC TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH /21.3 N/ ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST /115.2 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050600 UTC TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /23.1 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /117.1 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060600 UTC TWO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH /25.0 N/ ONE ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST /118.2 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070600 UTC TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /26.4 N/ ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /121.4 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH /28.6 N/ ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /127.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. | TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2108WTSS20VHHH031045 | 2021-08-03 10:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | South China Sea area | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 030900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH /21.3 N/ ONE ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /113.9 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 040900 UTC TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /21.4 N/ ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST /115.5 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 050900 UTC TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /23.2 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /117.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 060900 UTC TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /25.2 N/ ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST /118.3 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /26.4 N/ ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /121.4 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH /28.7 N/ ONE TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /126.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. | TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2108WTSS20VHHH031345 | 2021-08-03 13:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | South China Sea area | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH /21.2 N/ ONE ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /114.1 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH /21.6 N/ ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST /115.7 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH /23.5 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /117.1 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH /25.4 N/ ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST /118.7 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071200 UTC TWO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH /26.6 N/ ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST /122.0 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH /29.0 N/ ONE TWO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST /127.6 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. | TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2108WTSS20VHHH031645 | 2021-08-03 16:45:00 | 0 | T | SS | South China Sea area | 20 | VHHH | TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH /21.1 N/ ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST /114.4 E/ AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST SLOWLY AT FIRST, AND MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /21.8 N/ ONE ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST /115.9 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /23.8 N/ ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST /117.2 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH /25.6 N/ ONE ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST /119.1 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071500 UTC TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH /26.8 N/ ONE TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST /122.7 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC TWO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH /29.3 N/ ONE TWO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST /128.3 E/ MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. | TSUNAMI X. HONG KONG OBSERVATORY | 22.35 | 114.24 |
| S2108WTIN20DEMS030700 | 2021-08-03 07:00:00 | 0 | T | IN | India | 20 | DEMS | TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.08.2021 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN /THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA/ VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 03.08.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 03.08.2021. BAY OF BENGAL: YESTERDAY/U2019S, WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH / ADJOINING NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH NOW LIES OVER NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH / NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 3RD AUGUST 2021. IT IS LIKELY TO BE PRACTICALLY STATIONARY OVER SAME AREA DURING NEXT 24 HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY THEREAFTER. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVE WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH / ADJOINING NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH CENTERED WITHIN HALF A DEGREE OF 25.7N AND 77.8E OVERLAND. ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH, WEST MADHYA PRADESH ADJOINING EAST RAJASTHAN. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE /CTT/ IS MINUS 72 0C. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH ADDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND GULF OF MARTABAN. W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, GULF OF CAMBAY, GULF OF KUTCH AND COMORIN REGION. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS /FORMATION OF DEPRESSION/ DURING NEXT 120 HRS/: 24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72 HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL REMARKS: NIL= | New Delhi,India | 28.81 | 77.03 |
